
Originally Posted by
Glenn W
This is a constant dilemma, discussion, and point of aggravation for most of the tournaments I fish in and has been a topic of alot of interest this year with other boats lining up crews.
First, there are a few basic laws (facts) of billfish tournament that cannot be changed:
(1) it is a rich man's sport;
(2) Many of us idiots refuse to admit law (1) and continue on with the other rules;
(3) Tournament fishing is a poor excuse for gambling--- you'd have better odds playing Blackjack so drunk you can't see your cards, let alone being able to count;
(4) Law (3) is for dweebs---- real men have nads not silly laws.
Now that the laws of physics are out of the way, let's talk about deciding what levels to enter---- specifically I'm referring to a group where some want to (or can only) enter only the base entry while others in the crew are contemplating (or wanting) to enter Calcutta’s.
Does there have to be a unanimous decision?---- Hell no
Is the person that pays for additional levels somehow disadvantaged---- hell no, in fact, the opposite is usually true.
Maybe this example will explain why you are actually better off entering an extra level yourself when your crew mates are only entered in a couple of levels:
Let's use last year's MA500 as an example (because the data is available). Suppose the boat, fuel, mate, & operating expenses are $9,000 before entry fees. The base fee is $6k for a total cost to get into the gig of $15k.
Assume there are 6 paying crew members, so this is $2,500 per man. This boat is now competing for the base prize of $500k and there are 163 boats at this level. If you win it is $83,333 per man or a payout ratio of 33.3:1.
Now, assume you want to play with the big boys and enter additional Calcuttas on your own. This is where risk and return comes in boys and girls:
The organizers make their money on the base entry fee but payout 95% of all Calcutta money. Consider that 163 boats paid $6,000 each for a chance at $500,000. These 163 boats generated $815,000 in revenue. This is a 61% payout ratio compared to the Calcutta payout ratio of 95%. It should be obvious now, but in case you rode the short bus, look at it this way:
Also consider that if you go in alone on a Calcutta, you get the entire amount.
Suppose you are considering fishing on one of two boats:
Boat A is also entering the 1k, 1.5,k, and 2.5k Calcutta so that the total cost is $20k for the boat ($3,333/man)
Boat B is only going base level but you will enter the 1k by yourself. This will cost you $3,500 ( $2,500 +1,000)
If you win on Boat A, your take is 1/6 of $500k base +$146k level1 + $218k level 2 + $344k level 3. this totals 1,200,000 or $201,500 per man. ( I know it’s not a winner take all, but the point and math is the same).
If you win on Boat B, your take is 1/6 of $500k base ($83,300) plus 100% of the level 1 prize of $146,000
for a total of $230,000
It cost about the same on either boat, but as you can see, your payout is better on Boat B than Boat A, AND the payout ratio (probability of winning per dollar of investment) is significantly better on Boat B.
The moral of the story is: if you want to go in extra levels on a boat but your crew mates do not, Don't let this slow you down one bit, your probabilities of winning are actually better if you enter a Calcutta on your own (for the same level of investment).
Therefore, just because your boat isn't going all in should not sway you from fishing that particular boat--- just enter the calcuttas you want on your own
Whew!!!! I'm brain dead now----- where's that Blackjack table?