Anyone going to the Edge this weekend?

[Riptide Charters]

I think we are going to pull the pin and run long this weekend. NOAA-Nothing is calling for big wind and seas, but the Navy and Fishweather are showing a window Saturday. Hoping the big Contender can thread the needle and get us out and back in the alleged lull. ANyone else going WAY south? Misery loves company, if we are going to take a pounding the more the merrier

[backman]

My 110 footer is being detailed and having the carpet's cleaned.

Sorry - your on your own on this one.

[fin-chaser]

How far is FAR ???? Call me today to discuss. I was taking today off but had to come in to the office.

Plan on leaving today about noon to head back to your area.

Do you have a crew for Sat.?? If we go on our boat, it would be just Drew and I.


D.

[Riptide Charters]

Dave FAR is 100 miles or so. Looking at Block Canyon or Hydro depending on seas. It's going to be a fast run to make the weather window, but only if the seas will let us. I'm having the bottom of the hull waxed and the props polished since I expect the will be showing a fair amount on this trip. Crew is full as of now. Me, Ruge, Mike C and Pink. Not sure you want any of this trip with you and Drew, unless the forecast makes a big change.

.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.SAT...WINDS BECOMING SW 10 TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT.
.SUN...SW WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.

[chumtini]

That's a tight weather window. At least the boat will look good. If it's any consolation, I'm off to a different Windy City, Chicago. Good luck!!!

000
FXUS61 KBOX 031115
AFDBOX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
715 AM EDT THU JUL 3 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
OVERALL...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BEACH WEATHER WILL PREVAIL FOR
MOST OF THE NEXT WEEK OR TWO. THERE WILL STILL BE THE MORE THAN USUAL
EPISODES OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH WEAKENING
FRONTAL SYSTEMS CROSSING NEW ENGLAND...RUNNING INTO THE PERSISTENT LARGE
AND STATIONARY WEST CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN HIGH PRESSURE CENTER.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
SKIES ARE CLEAR TO START OFF EARLY THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...HAVE BEEN
TRACKING HIGH LEVEL DEBRIS CLOUDS ACROSS NY STATE FROM MCS OVER S
MI/N OH LAST NIGHT. EXPECT HIGH CLOUDS TO WORK INTO CT VALLEY BY 10Z
OR SO...THEN ACROSS TO E MA BY AROUND 12Z. APPEARS TO BE THINNING
AND BREAKING UP AS THE CLOUDS WORK E...SO EXPECT JUST A MILKY
APPEARANCE TO THE SKY AND RATHER THIN CLOUDS.

AS FOR THE REST OF TODAY...EXPECT COLD FRONT OUT OF S ONTARIO-NW OH
THIS MORNING TO SLOWLY BUT STEADILY WORK E ACROSS NY STATE. NE
REGIONAL MOSAIC RADAR SHOWING BAND OF PRECIP ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF
THE FRONT AT 08Z. NOT TERRIBLY ORGANIZED AND C/G LIGHTNING ACTIVITY
HAS DROPPED EARLY THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...RIGHT REAR QUAD OF A VERY
STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET...ON ORDER OF 100 KTS OVER CENTRAL QUEBEC
THIS AFTERNOON WILL PASS OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. ALSO
NOTING GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIFLUENCE THAT WILL CROSS THE REGION...WHICH
WILL AID IN REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
EXPECT GOOD MIXING AS WELL WITH INCREASED PRES GRADIENT. WIND GUSTS
FORECASTED AT AROUND 25 KT MAINLY NEAR THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON.

WITH THE HISTORY OF THIS FRONT AND ITS SEVERE WEATHER OVER S
MI/WI...N IN/OH/IL YESTERDAY...GOOD BET TO GET SOME SEVERE HERE AS
WELL WITH EXCELLENT DYNAMICS IN PLACE. SPC HAS PLACED MOST INLAND
AREAS IN A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE...MAINLY FOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL. HAVE MENTIONED THIS IN BOTH THE ZONES AND GRIDS TO THE N
AND W OF A LINE FROM NEAR KBOS-KBDL. WILL ALSO INCLUDE IN THE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

WILL TIME IN PRECIP AROUND 18Z FOR S NH/N MA...THEN SLOWLY WORKING
SE. MODELS HAVE HELD OFF PRECIP INTO SE MA/S RI UNTIL TONIGHT.

ANOTHER FACTOR THAT WILL AID THE CONVECTION WILL BE THE VERY WARM
TEMPS FOR TODAY. WITH GOOD SW FLOW IN PLACE BRINGING H85 TEMPS IN
THE +16C TO +18C RANGE...EXPECT HIGHS TO BE IN THE MID-UPPER 80S
WITH A FEW 90+ READINGS.

IN ADDITION...AN AIR QUALITY ALERT REMAINS IN PLACE...ISSUED BY
THE MASSACHUSETTS DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION FOR
WORCESTER...MIDDLESEX...ESSEX...NORFOLK...AND SUFFOLK COUNTIES.
PLEASE REFER TO THE HWO OR THE AQA MESSAGE FOR MORE INFORMATION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM FRIDAY/...
FOR TONIGHT...EXPECT COLD FRONT TO SLOWLY WORK SE ACROSS THE
REGION...THEN WILL STALL FROM ABOUT A SE MA/RI/N CT LINE TOWARD
FRIDAY MORNING AS FRONT BECOMES HUNG UP IN UPPER SW FLOW. STILL
EXPECT SCATTERED SHWRS/TSTMS MAINLY S OF THE MASS PIKE TONIGHT.

WARMEST TEMPS TONIGHT WILL OCCUR OVER E MA/RI AHEAD OF THE FRONT...
BUT WILL NOT BE MUCH COOLER N OF THE FRONT AS CLOUDS AND A FEW
SHOWERS HANG IN.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
...-- Changed Discussion --BETTER BEACH WEATHER WITH HEAT COMING AND POSSIBLY AS HEAT WAVE
NEXT WEEK...

THIS WEEKEND IS THE BEST CHANCE FOR BELOW NORMAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
AND THAT WOULD PRIMARILY BE CAUSED BY OVERCAST SKIES DURING THE DAY
AND PERIODS OF SHOWERY RAINS.

OTHERWISE...SUMMER HEAT IS COMING NEXT WEEK.

FRIDAY...MODELS DIFFER BUT OVERALL THE CONSENSUS IS THAT 00/3 GFS WAS
AN OUTLIER AND WE JUST COULD NOT RELY ON MUCH OF ITS PREDICTIONS.
INSTEAD WE DEFERRED TO THE PRIOR 4 PM KBOX FCST...MESHED WITH THE
00Z/3 ECMWF/UKMET MASS FIELDS AS WELL AS THE 00Z/ 3 GFS ENSEMBLES.

FRIDAY...DEPENDING ON WHERE THE FRONT IS...CONVECTION OCCURS. GFS
APPEARS FAR TOO BULLISH ON THE SOUTHWARD PUSH. EC WAS WETTER AS WAS
THE THE UKMET AND 00Z/3 GFS ENS. FCST CONFIDENCE IS AVG. NGM..THE
MODEL THAT IS PROBABLY BEING TERMINATED IN 2009...SHOWS UNSTABLE BEST
LI`S FRI OVER MUCH OF SNE AND THIS IS A SIGNAL FOR POTENTIAL ELEVATED
CONVECTION. SUSPECT IT WONT TAKE MUCH CONVERGENCE TO SET OFF SHOWERS.
SO...PLEASE CHECK BACK FOR MORE DETAILS. POPS WERE ADJUSTED UP S OF
THE MASS PIKE.

IN MY FCST OPINION...GREATEST RISK FOR SOUR WEATHER FOR EVENING
OUTDOOR ACTIVITY IS CT AND RI...SE MASS WITH DRY WEATHER FOR S NH
WHERE I CAN LOWERING POPS FROM WHAT WE HAVE NOW.

SATURDAY...COULD BE THE WORST DAY OF THE WEEKEND...AT LEAST WHEN
RAINFALL IS CONSIDERED. DETAILS TO BE DETERMINED BUT GENERAL
CONVERGENCE NR THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD RESULT IN A PERIOD
OR TWO OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POPS WERE ADJUSTED UP.

SUNDAY...CONTINUITY WITH THE 4PM WED FCST.

MONDAY...SUBTLE COOL POOL AT 500MB COMBINED WITH LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION
SHOULD RESULT IN A SEVERE WEATHER AFTERNOON WITH LOTS OF
THUNDERSTORMS.

TUESDAY-THURSDAY...HEAT FOLLOWS AND WHILE I DIDNT HAVE TIME TO MORE
THAN CASUALLY ACCESS...I THINK ITS A HIGH CONFIDENCE FORECAST EXPECTING
2 TO 4 DAYS OF 90 PLUS HEAT NEXT WEEK...POSSIBLY REACHING MID 90S.
THE USUAL COASTAL SUBTLE BACKDOOR COOLING ISSUES MAY ARISE.
CONVECTION MAY OCCUR BUT THAT IS LESS CLEAR TO ME.

CONFIDENCE HIGH ON TWO TO 4 DAYS OF 90+.

AIR QUALITY ISSUES WILL PROBABLY BECOME MORE COMMON.

DANGEROUS RIP CURRENT RISK FRIDAY AND AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

TYPICAL RAINFALL BRIEF SIGNIFICANT POOR DRAINAGE FLOOD ISSUES WITHIN
THIS FCST PERIOD.-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.AVIATION /11Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
TODAY...EXPECT MAINLY VFR THROUGH AT LEAST MIDDAY. CEILINGS WILL
LOWER OVER WESTERN AREAS BUT REMAIN MAINLY VFR. MVFR-IFR CIGS/VSBYS
AT A FEW SPOTS EARLY THIS MORNING...WILL IMPROVE BY MID MORNING.

TONIGHT...MAINLY VFR TO START...BUT CONDITIONS LOWERING TO MVFR-IFR
WITH SCT SHWRS/TSTMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS THE FRONT PASSES...BUT WILL SHIFT TO W OVER N
AREAS BY FRI MORNING.

OUTLOOK...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

FRI...VFR EXCEPT FOR IFR IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...AND IFR
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AROUND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY LINGERING NEAR THE
COAST.

SAT...IFR CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP AROUND AND NORTH OF THE FRONT...
ALSO IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.

SUN AND MON...VFR DAYTIME LIKELY BUT A CHANCE OF MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS
EXISTS IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND IN TYPICAL PREDAWN IFR ST/FOG.
HAZE BECOMES FEATURED AT LOGAN AS SUMMERY WEATHER ARRIVES.

&&

.MARINE...
TODAY...EXPECT SW WINDS TO PICK UP...WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT PICKING UP
AFTER MID MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS GOOD MIXING PUSHES IN
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. ALSO EXPECT SEAS TO BUILD TO 5-6 FT. NOTED THAT
BUOY 44017 HAD REPORTED WIND WAVE TO NEAR 5 FT...BUT HAS SINCE
DROPPED BACK TO 4 FT AT 08Z. EXPECT SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ON ALL
WATERS BY MIDDAY. SCATTERED SHWRS/TSTMS WILL DEVELOP ON NORTHERN
WATERS DURING THE AFTERNOON AS FRONT APPROACHES.

HAVE MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ON THE S BEACHES OF NANTUCKET
AND MARTHAS VINEYARD TODAY. MAINLY A WIND WAVE FOR TODAY...BUT SOME
HIGHER SWELLS MAY DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT.

TONIGHT...WINDS WILL DIMINISH...BUT CONTINUED SW FLOW WILL KEEP SEAS
AT OR ABOVE 5 FT. EXPECT SCATTERED SHWRS/TSTMS TO SLOWLY MOVE OVER
MOST OF THE WATERS AS FRONT CONTINUES TO SAG SLOWLY SE.

OUTLOOK...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

SCA SEAS LINGER FRI AND FRI NIGHT...BUT GRADUALLY SUBSIDE FOR SAT.
CONDITIONS BELOW SCA CRITERIA SAT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...SEAS MAY REACH
SCA CONDITIONS MON ON SOUTHERN OUTER WATERS FROM PERSISTENT S/SW FLOW.

FOG MAY BECOME A PBLM FOR NAVIGATION ALONG THE S COAST.

RIP CURRENT RISK CONTINUES ABOVE NORMAL S COASTAL OCEAN EXPOSED
LOCATIONS FRI AND RETURNS NEXT MON.

&&

.CLIMATE...
PVD 12 CONSEC ABOVE NORMAL DAYS. THIS MAY BE INTERRUPTED OVER THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
-- Changed Discussion --CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
NH...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
ANZ230>237.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ250.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ254-255.-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...DRAG
NEAR TERM...EVT
SHORT TERM...EVT
LONG TERM...DRAG 715
AVIATION...DRAG/EVT
MARINE...DRAG/EVT
CLIMATE...DRAG

[fin-chaser]

Dave FAR is 100 miles or so. Looking at Block Canyon or Hydro depending on seas. It's going to be a fast run to make the weather window, but only if the seas will let us. I'm having the bottom of the hull waxed and the props polished since I expect the will be showing a fair amount on this trip. Crew is full as of now. Me, Ruge, Mike C and Pink. Not sure you want any of this trip with you and Drew, unless the forecast makes a big change.

.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.SAT...WINDS BECOMING SW 10 TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO
4 FT.
.SUN...SW WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.

Have Fun !!!!

[fightingcouch]

Weather sucks

[sportfishingusa]

I WILL BE DRINKING ON THE SIDE LINES! LOL

[Boonebird]

Will be standing by for the report. Our boat is ready to go. Jb has finished rigging new rods reels with jerry brown week after next it will be time to clean the growth off the bottom of the boat. Yea boy. Good luck keep us posted.

[Riptide Charters]

We are tying to tweek the the window. As it stands now it will be a run to Block with a 2-3am-ish leave time. Winds inshore will be dying then and the call is 2er's. The claming runs SW the way we are running. Looking at 3's maybe 3-4's out there with a 8 sec period. Then around 4 pm it's gonna start back up. We hope to surf home in building 4's on our tail.

If we hit it just right the water temps look great and the reports were solid before the blow.

If we miss the window by more than an hour or two on either end it will be an A$$ kicker.

"So do ya feel lucky Punk?.....Well, do ya?"